Today's Free & Accurate Football 1X2 Tips

Updated on February 15, 2026 Shows outcome probability of each result ( ) Displays the average odds for the bet

Luxembourg

UNA Strassen

Victoria Rosport

70%

(1.23)

20%

(5.36)

10%

(9.11)

90%

(1.04)

30%

(3.48)

80%

(1.1)

Portugal

Sporting CP

Famalicao

66%

(1.34)

23%

(5.01)

11%

(8.51)

89%

(1.06)

34%

(3.16)

77%

(1.15)

Bulgaria

Dunav Ruse

Spartak Pleven

64%

(1.1)

25%

(6.85)

11%

(18.5)

89%

(1.01)

36%

(5.12)

75%

(1.05)

San Marino

SP Tre Penne

SS Cosmos

60%

(1.34)

28%

(4.23)

12%

(7.68)

88%

(1.04)

40%

(2.82)

72%

(1.16)

Turkey

Amed SFK

Sakaryaspor

63%

(1.2)

25%

(5.78)

13%

(10.24)

87%

(1.04)

37%

(3.85)

75%

(1.09)

Azerbaijan

Kapaz Ganja

Neftchi Baku

13%

(4.76)

15%

(3.37)

72%

(1.64)

28%

(2.01)

87%

(1.13)

85%

(1.24)

Germany

RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg

68%

(1.49)

19%

(4.78)

13%

(5.98)

87%

(1.13)

32%

(2.61)

81%

(1.17)

San Marino

SS Virtus

FC Fiorentino

63%

(1.18)

23%

(5.73)

14%

(11.57)

87%

(1.04)

37%

(4.05)

77%

(1.08)

Scotland

Motherwell

Aberdeen

63%

(1.6)

24%

(3.96)

14%

(5.15)

86%

(1.15)

38%

(2.26)

76%

(1.22)

Tunisia

Club Africain Tunis

JS El Omrane

55%

(1.19)

31%

(5.09)

14%

(14.75)

86%

(1.03)

45%

(3.66)

69%

(1.14)

Japan

Kashiwa Reysol

Tokyo Verdy

56%

(1.46)

30%

(4.06)

14%

(6.57)

86%

(1.09)

44%

(2.55)

70%

(1.21)

Bulgaria

Levski Sofia

Botev Plovdiv

60%

(1.28)

26%

(5.13)

14%

(9.39)

86%

(1.04)

40%

(3.37)

74%

(1.14)

Greece

Panathinaikos

AEL Larissa

57%

(1.31)

29%

(4.72)

14%

(10.13)

86%

(1.04)

43%

(3.21)

71%

(1.17)

Italy

Lecco

Virtus Verona

54%

(1.63)

32%

(3.44)

14%

(4.85)

86%

(1.1)

46%

(2.08)

68%

(1.23)

Cyprus

Ethnikos Achna

APOEL Nicosia

16%

(4.12)

21%

(3.43)

63%

(1.75)

37%

(1.91)

84%

(1.18)

79%

(1.25)

Honduras

Real Espana

Deportivo Choloma

52%

(1.3)

32%

(4.69)

16%

(7.98)

84%

(1.04)

48%

(3.06)

68%

(1.13)

Tunisia

US Monastir

ES Zarzis

47%

(1.79)

37%

(2.94)

17%

(4.93)

83%

(1.14)

53%

(1.84)

63%

(1.34)

Argentina

Atletico Guemes

Nueva Chicago

47%

(1.83)

36%

(2.89)

17%

(4.94)

83%

(1.14)

53%

(1.88)

64%

(1.34)

Poland

Pogon Szczecin

Arka Gdynia

60%

(1.66)

23%

(3.87)

17%

(4.64)

83%

(1.16)

40%

(2.12)

77%

(1.23)

Italy

Monza

Juve Stabia

54%

(1.71)

29%

(3.44)

17%

(4.97)

83%

(1.14)

46%

(2.07)

71%

(1.29)

Slovakia

KFC Komarno

DAC Dunajska Streda

17%

(4.33)

18%

(3.56)

65%

(1.73)

35%

(2)

83%

(1.16)

82%

(1.27)

England

Stoke

Fulham

18%

(4.6)

17%

(3.79)

65%

(1.7)

35%

(2.08)

82%

(1.17)

83%

(1.25)

Bulgaria

Chernomorets Burgas

Minyor Pernik

48%

(1.56)

35%

(3.45)

17%

(5.7)

83%

(1.08)

52%

(2.16)

65%

(1.21)

Turkey

Goztepe

Kayserispor

51%

(1.62)

32%

(3.82)

17%

(5.31)

83%

(1.14)

49%

(2.23)

68%

(1.25)

Argentina

Boca Juniors

Platense

50%

(1.63)

33%

(3.37)

18%

(6.28)

83%

(1.11)

50%

(2.21)

67%

(1.29)

Denmark

Fredericia

AGF Aarhus

18%

(6.78)

18%

(4.98)

64%

(1.38)

36%

(2.87)

82%

(1.09)

82%

(1.16)

Portugal

Nacional

Porto

18%

(7.48)

19%

(4.78)

63%

(1.39)

37%

(2.87)

82%

(1.08)

81%

(1.17)

Hungary

Gyori ETO

Kisvarda

60%

(1.48)

22%

(4.25)

18%

(5.42)

82%

(1.11)

41%

(2.42)

78%

(1.18)

Italy

LR Vicenza

Alcione Milano

43%

(1.32)

39%

(4.31)

19%

(8.39)

81%

(1.04)

58%

(2.91)

61%

(1.14)

El Salvador

Luis Angel Firpo

Platense Zacatecoluca

50%

(1.41)

32%

(3.9)

19%

(6.6)

81%

(1.08)

50%

(2.5)

68%

(1.19)

Italy

Trento 1921

Pro Patria

46%

(1.47)

35%

(3.88)

19%

(5.84)

81%

(1.07)

54%

(2.39)

65%

(1.18)

Paraguay

Cerro Porteno

Nacional Asuncion

47%

(1.81)

35%

(3.21)

19%

(4.31)

81%

(1.18)

54%

(1.88)

65%

(1.3)

England

Arsenal

Wigan

48%

(1.05)

34%

(14.5)

19%

(30.67)

81%

(1.01)

52%

(11.4)

66%

(1.03)

Malta

Floriana

Tarxien Rainbows

53%

(1.24)

28%

(4.99)

19%

(9.64)

81%

(1.03)

47%

(3.52)

72%

(1.12)

Spain

Castellon

Deportivo La Coruna

50%

(1.73)

31%

(3.63)

19%

(4.42)

81%

(1.18)

50%

(1.99)

69%

(1.25)

Chile

Colo-Colo Santiago

Union La Calera

52%

(1.46)

29%

(4.19)

19%

(6.14)

81%

(1.1)

48%

(2.55)

71%

(1.19)

Costa Rica

Municipal Liberia

Deportivo Saprissa

21%

(3.27)

19%

(3.01)

60%

(2.13)

40%

(1.61)

79%

(1.27)

81%

(1.32)

Slovenia

NK Primorje Ajdovscina

NK Maribor

19%

(4.42)

24%

(3.86)

57%

(1.64)

43%

(2.1)

81%

(1.14)

76%

(1.21)

Andorra

FC Ordino

FC Santa Coloma

20%

(11.55)

27%

(5.4)

54%

(1.19)

46%

81%

73%

Bulgaria

Marek Dupnitsa

Sevlievo

49%

(1.74)

32%

(3.16)

20%

(4.65)

81%

(1.13)

51%

(1.91)

68%

(1.27)

Denmark

Odense

FC Midtjylland

20%

(4.19)

20%

(3.96)

60%

(1.72)

40%

(2.02)

80%

(1.2)

81%

(1.23)

Italy

Perugia

Carpi

48%

(1.73)

33%

(3.25)

20%

(4.51)

81%

(1.15)

52%

(1.94)

67%

(1.24)

Costa Rica

Herediano

Cartagines

43%

(1.8)

37%

(3.26)

20%

(4.1)

80%

(1.17)

57%

(1.88)

63%

(1.28)

Belgium

Cercle Brugge

Club Brugge

20%

(3.97)

28%

(3.84)

53%

(1.79)

47%

(1.95)

80%

(1.22)

72%

(1.24)

Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD

Estoril Praia

20%

(4.34)

23%

(3.86)

58%

(1.75)

42%

(2.03)

80%

(1.19)

77%

(1.24)

Spain

Lugo

CD Guadalajara

50%

(1.68)

31%

(3.32)

20%

(4.68)

80%

(1.14)

51%

(2.01)

69%

(1.23)

Guatemala

Municipal

Deportivo Achuapa

47%

(1.18)

33%

(5.49)

20%

(13)

80%

(1.02)

53%

(3.97)

67%

(1.09)

Croatia

HNK Gorica

Vukovar 1991

44%

(1.79)

37%

(3.51)

20%

(4.1)

80%

(1.19)

57%

(1.91)

64%

(1.27)

Italy

Ravenna

Juventus Next Gen

43%

(1.77)

37%

(3.33)

20%

(4.05)

80%

(1.17)

57%

(1.84)

63%

(1.25)

Albania

Dinamo City

Flamurtari Vlore

42%

(1.24)

38%

(4.4)

20%

(12.93)

80%

(1.03)

58%

(3.26)

63%

(1.15)

El Salvador

Zacatecoluca FC

Aguila San Miguel

20%

(4.61)

26%

(3.47)

54%

(1.65)

46%

(2.01)

80%

(1.15)

74%

(1.23)

Indonesia

Bali United

Persija Jakarta

21%

(3.05)

25%

(3.22)

54%

(2.09)

46%

(1.6)

80%

(1.28)

75%

(1.27)

France

Lyonnais

Nice

46%

(1.68)

34%

(3.98)

21%

(4.97)

80%

(1.16)

54%

(2.15)

66%

(1.24)

Morocco

FUS Rabat

KACM Marrakech

43%

(1.74)

37%

(3.2)

21%

(4.58)

79%

(1.14)

57%

(1.92)

63%

(1.27)

Mexico

Atletico Morelia

Venados

44%

(1.58)

36%

(3.9)

21%

(4.6)

79%

(1.14)

56%

(2.18)

64%

(1.2)

India

Jamshedpur FC

Mohammedan Kolkata

44%

(1.16)

35%

(6.35)

21%

(13.83)

79%

(1.03)

56%

(4.4)

65%

(1.09)

Uruguay

Central Espanol

Penarol Montevideo

21%

(7.04)

22%

(4.19)

57%

(1.4)

44%

(2.68)

79%

(1.07)

78%

(1.18)

Peru

Alianza Atletico

Alianza Lima

21%

(3.67)

30%

(3.14)

49%

(1.98)

52%

(1.74)

79%

(1.22)

70%

(1.32)

England

Birmingham

Leeds

21%

(3.35)

21%

(3.52)

57%

(2.07)

43%

(1.72)

79%

(1.3)

79%

(1.29)

Croatia

NK Osijek

Hajduk Split

21%

(4.07)

25%

(3.35)

54%

(1.83)

46%

(1.84)

79%

(1.18)

76%

(1.27)

Netherlands

Feyenoord

Go Ahead Eagles

49%

(1.36)

29%

(5.28)

21%

(7.54)

79%

(1.08)

51%

(3.12)

71%

(1.15)

Spain

Hercules

Antequera

41%

(1.74)

38%

(3.22)

21%

(4.35)

79%

(1.14)

59%

(1.91)

62%

(1.28)

Israel

Maccabi Haifa

Bnei Sakhnin

45%

(1.32)

33%

(4.71)

22%

(7.98)

79%

(1.05)

55%

(3.15)

67%

(1.14)

Japan

Gifu

Jubilo Iwata

22%

(3.05)

22%

(3.32)

56%

(2.11)

44%

(1.62)

78%

(1.29)

78%

(1.27)

Luxembourg

Mamer 32

Jeunesse Esch

25%

(3.69)

22%

(3.31)

53%

(1.85)

47%

(1.79)

75%

(1.22)

78%

(1.24)

Mexico

Monterrey

Leon

49%

(1.54)

29%

(4.2)

22%

(5.48)

78%

(1.13)

51%

(2.34)

71%

(1.2)

Scotland

Kilmarnock

Celtic

22%

(7.25)

23%

(4.86)

55%

(1.36)

45%

(2.94)

78%

(1.08)

77%

(1.16)

Slovenia

FC Koper

NK Radomlje

51%

(1.56)

26%

(3.96)

22%

(4.89)

78%

(1.12)

49%

(2.24)

74%

(1.19)

Romania

Farul Constanta

Rapid Bucuresti

25%

(3.17)

22%

(3.36)

52%

(2.11)

48%

(1.64)

75%

(1.31)

78%

(1.28)

Bulgaria

Ludogorets Razgrad

Beroe Stara Zagora

46%

(1.11)

32%

(8.11)

23%

(18.25)

78%

(1.02)

54%

(5.63)

69%

(1.06)

Austria

Grazer AK

Red Bull Salzburg

23%

(4.57)

24%

(3.74)

53%

(1.7)

47%

(2.06)

77%

(1.17)

76%

(1.24)

San Marino

SS Folgore Falciano

SP Tre Fiori

25%

(3.9)

23%

(3.11)

52%

(1.86)

48%

(1.78)

75%

(1.19)

77%

(1.28)

Belgium

Francs Borains

SK Beveren

23%

(5.44)

27%

(3.9)

50%

(1.5)

50%

(2.34)

77%

(1.11)

73%

(1.2)

Belgium

Saint Truiden

Zulte Waregem

43%

(1.69)

34%

(3.84)

23%

(4.61)

77%

(1.17)

57%

(2.08)

66%

(1.24)

Japan

Tochigi SC

Montedio Yamagata

23%

(2.93)

25%

(3.2)

52%

(2.22)

48%

(1.54)

77%

(1.32)

75%

(1.28)

Spain

Celta Fortuna

Real Aviles

46%

(1.7)

31%

(3.49)

23%

(4.24)

77%

(1.15)

54%

(1.97)

69%

(1.23)

Belgium

Anderlecht

RAAL La Louviere

42%

(1.73)

35%

(3.56)

23%

(4.76)

77%

(1.17)

58%

(2.02)

66%

(1.27)

Netherlands

Heerenveen

FC Zwolle

46%

(1.53)

30%

(4.43)

23%

(5.65)

77%

(1.13)

54%

(2.45)

70%

(1.2)

Spain

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

23%

(4.47)

25%

(3.69)

52%

(1.82)

48%

(1.96)

77%

(1.2)

75%

(1.27)

Singapore

Lion City Sailors

Tanjong Pagar

52%

(1.05)

24%

(12.7)

25%

(25.6)

75%

(1.01)

48%

(9.66)

77%

(1.04)

Poland

Lech Poznan

Piast Gliwice

48%

(1.73)

29%

(3.74)

24%

(4.34)

77%

(1.17)

52%

(2.03)

71%

(1.25)

Netherlands

Telstar Velsen

Twente

26%

(5.13)

24%

(4.25)

50%

(1.59)

50%

(2.3)

74%

(1.15)

76%

(1.22)

El Salvador

Cacahuatique

Isidro Metapan

27%

(3.37)

24%

(2.84)

50%

(2.15)

50%

(1.58)

73%

(1.27)

76%

(1.33)

Luxembourg

Progres Niedercorn

Swift Hesperange

46%

(1.68)

31%

(3.72)

24%

(4.07)

76%

(1.18)

54%

(1.97)

69%

(1.21)

England

Oxford United

Sunderland

24%

(4.97)

25%

(3.7)

51%

(1.68)

49%

(2.14)

76%

(1.15)

75%

(1.26)

Poland

Wieczysta Krakow

Puszcza Niepolomice

49%

(1.51)

27%

(3.95)

24%

(5.24)

76%

(1.12)

51%

(2.3)

73%

(1.18)

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sloga Doboj

FK Sarajevo

24%

(3.58)

25%

(2.82)

51%

(2.11)

49%

(1.6)

76%

(1.23)

76%

(1.35)

Spain

Mirandes

Las Palmas

25%

(3.18)

24%

(3.05)

51%

(2.27)

49%

(1.57)

75%

(1.31)

76%

(1.34)

Colombia

Deportivo Cali

Atletico Nacional

27%

(3.27)

24%

(3.31)

49%

(2.13)

52%

(1.66)

73%

(1.3)

76%

(1.3)

Japan

Oita Trinita

Giravanz Kitakyushu

41%

(1.73)

34%

(3.38)

24%

(4.36)

76%

(1.17)

59%

(1.89)

66%

(1.26)

Paraguay

Sportivo Trinidense

Libertad Asuncion

27%

(3.58)

24%

(3.21)

48%

(1.98)

52%

(1.72)

73%

(1.24)

76%

(1.3)

Germany

Schweinfurt 05

Ingolstadt

24%

(3.94)

27%

(3.85)

49%

(1.72)

51%

(1.97)

76%

(1.2)

73%

(1.21)

Czech Republic

Sparta Prague

Hradec Kralove

43%

(1.35)

32%

(4.48)

25%

(8.19)

75%

(1.06)

57%

(2.95)

68%

(1.17)

Singapore

Geylang International

Hougang United FC

40%

(1.71)

25%

(3.99)

35%

(3.76)

65%

(1.21)

60%

(1.97)

75%

(1.19)

Spain

Real Oviedo

Athletic Bilbao

26%

(3.73)

27%

(3.14)

48%

(2.19)

52%

(1.67)

75%

(1.25)

73%

(1.36)

Argentina

Gimnasia La Plata

Estudiantes La Plata

32%

(3.52)

26%

(2.85)

42%

(2.3)

58%

(1.56)

68%

(1.28)

74%

(1.4)

Luxembourg

Kaerjeng Un

US Mondorf-les-Bains

32%

(3.9)

26%

(3.48)

42%

(1.77)

58%

(1.87)

68%

(1.21)

74%

(1.23)

Cyprus

AEL Limassol

Pafos FC

32%

(4.04)

27%

(3.33)

42%

(1.81)

58%

(1.86)

68%

(1.19)

73%

(1.25)

Japan

Ehime FC

Zweigen Kanazawa

30%

(3.78)

27%

(3.26)

43%

(1.88)

57%

(1.77)

70%

(1.21)

73%

(1.25)

Italy

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Pro Vercelli

28%

(2.95)

27%

(3.07)

45%

(2.23)

55%

(1.53)

73%

(1.29)

73%

(1.29)

England

Grimsby

Wolverhampton

30%

(6.32)

28%

(4.7)

42%

(1.43)

58%

(2.69)

70%

(1.11)

72%

(1.18)

Peru

Comerciantes Unidos

Los Chankas CYC

36%

(2.09)

35%

(3.36)

29%

(3.14)

71%

(1.3)

64%

(1.66)

65%

(1.27)

Italy

Bra

Ascoli

29%

(4.95)

34%

(3.44)

36%

(1.62)

64%

(2.08)

71%

(1.12)

66%

(1.23)

Portugal

Pacos Ferreira

Torreense

30%

(3.52)

31%

(3.02)

39%

(2.06)

61%

(1.65)

70%

(1.25)

69%

(1.32)

Top Picks Double Chance BTTS Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Tomorrow

Football 1×2 Probability Guide

Probability	Recommendation
0% – 40%	Very low chance
40% – 50%	Slight chance
50% – 60%	Good chance
60% – 70%	Very good chance
70% +	Excellent chance

Football 1×2 Tips Betting Guide

1×2 betting is the most straightforward and widely recognized type of football betting. It involves predicting the outcome of a match based on three possible results: a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2). This market is often referred to as the “match result” or “full-time result” market, as it focuses solely on the outcome after 90 minutes of play (including injury time but excluding extra time or penalties).

Let’s break it down:

1 (Home Win): You’re betting on the home team to win the match.
X (Draw): You’re predicting that neither team will win, and the game will end in a tie.
2 (Away Win): You’re betting that the away team will come out victorious.

For example, in a match between Liverpool and Manchester United, if you think Liverpool (the home team) will win, you place your bet on “1.” If you feel both teams are evenly matched and might share the points, you bet on “X.” If you believe Manchester United will win, your bet goes on “2.”

This simplicity is what makes 1×2 betting so popular among beginners and experienced bettors alike. It’s easy to grasp yet allows room for strategic decisions based on analysis and insight.

Reading Odds and Probability

Understanding odds is essential for football betting. Odds represent the probability of an event occurring and determine how much you stand to win from a bet. In 1×2 betting, you’ll see odds displayed for each of the three possible outcomes: home win (1), draw (X), and away win (2). Odds can be shown in three main formats: decimal, fractional, and American.

Decimal Odds: Popular in Europe, these are straightforward. For example, if the odds for a home win are 2.50, a $10 bet would return $25 (stake × odds), meaning a $15 profit.
Fractional Odds: Common in the UK, they show potential profit relative to your stake. For instance, odds of 3/1 mean you’ll win $3 for every $1 wagered. A $10 bet would return $40 (stake + $30 profit).
American Odds: Used in the US, these can be positive or negative. Positive odds (e.g., +200) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet, while negative odds (e.g., -150) indicate how much you’d need to bet to win $100.

Each odds format reflects the implied probability of an outcome. For example, odds of 2.00 in decimal imply a 50% chance (1 ÷ 2.00 × 100). Mastering odds helps you spot value and make informed betting decisions.

How we Pick Winning Football 1×2 Tips

Here at Betbench we take into account 10 key factors that determine the outcome of matches to come up with our Football 1×2 tips and predictions. Breaking down these factors will help you predict outcomes more accurately and avoid betting based solely on gut feelings. Evaluating these factors can help you make smarter betting decisions:

Team Form – Check recent results: Are the teams winning, losing, or drawing in their last 5-10 matches? Assess their performance at home and away during this period.
Head-to-Head Record – Look at past matchups between the teams. Does one side consistently dominate? Note patterns like high-scoring games or frequent draws between them.
Home and Away Advantage – Home teams often benefit from crowd support, reduced travel, and familiar conditions. Some teams perform poorly away, especially against tough opponents.
Injuries and Suspensions – Missing star players can weaken a team’s attack, defense, or midfield control. Teams often struggle to adapt to losing key players, especially in important positions.
Playing Style and Matchups – Consider tactical setups: Is it an attacking team versus a defensive one? Some teams struggle against specific styles, like counterattacks or high-press systems.
Motivation Levels – Teams chasing trophies, European spots, or avoiding relegation often show more determination. Teams with no clear goal may not approach games with the same intensity.
Schedule Congestion and Fatigue – Teams with multiple games in a short period (e.g., midweek fixtures) may rotate players. Fatigue impacts performance, especially for squads with less depth.
Weather and Pitch Conditions – Heavy rain, wind, or snow can slow games and favor defensive setups. Some teams struggle on artificial turf or poorly maintained pitches.
Recent Managerial Changes – New managers can boost team morale and results in the short term. Alternatively, a team adapting to new tactics might struggle initially.
Team Statistics – Examine metrics like goals scored/conceded per game, clean sheets, and shot conversion rates. Use data such as expected goals (xG) to assess a team’s true performance levels and gauge the football 1×2 tips.

Combining Multiple 1×2 Bets

An accumulator, or “acca,” is when you combine multiple football 1×2 tips into a single wager. Instead of betting on just one match outcome, you select results from two or more games, and all your picks need to win for your bet to pay out. The main appeal? The odds for each selection are multiplied, which means potentially huge payouts from a small stake.

For example:

Match 1: Liverpool to win (1) at odds of 2.00.

Match 2: Arsenal to win (1) at odds of 1.80.

Match 3: Manchester City to win (1) at odds of 1.50.

Individually, these bets don’t offer massive returns. But combine them, and the total odds are 2.00 × 1.80 × 1.50 = 5.40. A $10 stake on this accumulator would return $54 if all three teams win.

Why I Like Accumulators

Accas are exciting because they turn modest stakes into big wins, especially if you include underdogs or draws. But they’re not easy to land since one wrong pick ruins the whole bet. This is why I suggest sticking to teams you’ve analyzed thoroughly.

Tips for Building Better Accas

Stick to 2-4 Teams: The more games you include, the higher the odds—but also the risk.

Balance the Selections: Mix safer bets (strong favorites) with a couple of higher-risk picks to boost the odds without being overly ambitious.

Avoid Long Shots: Betting on massive underdogs might be tempting, but it’s risky in an acca.

Limit Emotions: Don’t include your favorite team just because you support them—stick to logical picks.

Betting on football, especially using if using our football 1×2 tips, is both fun and rewarding when done right. It’s simple enough for beginners but has enough depth for seasoned bettors to stay engaged.

By understanding how 1×2 betting works, reading odds properly, analyzing key factors like team form and head-to-head records, and experimenting with options like accumulators, you can improve your chances of making smarter bets.